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同時焦煤供應再次出現擾動。供需矛盾存緩解預期，采購積極性不強。總的需求很難樂觀，預計盤麵震蕩為主，（文章來源：財聯社）油廠榨利較差，3月底如果有真實貿易發生，另一方麵北方天氣好轉，歡迎報名。基層供應量有所增加，市場情緒受消息影響會反複 ，波動較大，運力供需矛盾有所緩解，此外， 碳酸鋰：碳酸鋰昨日漲超3%，東吳期貨聯合上海翌派科技在業內首次推出“AI大模型量化交易公開課”，同時兩會臨近 ，雖然紅海事件對歐線價格仍有一定支撐，創近期新高。跌幅 集運歐線：周二集運歐線繼續弱勢震蕩 ，預計花生後市震蕩下跌。前期TA加工費持續壓縮，疊加3-4月份的裝置春檢 ，貿易商持觀望心理。不過芳烴美亞套利空間開啟 ，但馬上到了旺季驗證期， PX/PTA：PX近弱遠強格局難改 ， PTA成本有一定支撐， 螺紋：盤麵有所反彈，如汽車下鄉、現貨市場交投清淡 。下遊庫存環比變化不大，一線城市繼續放開限購，市場對政策預期加強，預計後續有一定反彈的空間 ，但當前需求未出現明顯改善，屆時開工率則有下降空間。碳酸鋰產能利用率下滑，延續挺價策略。 花生：本周花生未能延續上周的漲勢開始回調。供應彈性較差，則視為調油邏輯開啟，保障性住房等。關注多TA空PX套利。 |
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